Data-driven sports picks · Sharp book pricing · Series intelligence
EdgeLeverage scans 6 sharp books including Pinnacle in real time, applies series data, matchup defense, and comprehensive calibration rules to surface sports picks with genuine positive EV — before the market corrects.
The system
Not gut feels. Not Twitter tips. A rules-based engine that reads the same lines the sharpest bettors in the world use.
01
6 sharp books anchor every EV calculation — including Pinnacle, the world's sharpest sportsbook, plus ProphetExchange, BetOnline, BookmakerEU, Sporttrade, and LowVig. Sharp books carry under 2% hold. Recreational books carry 4–6%. We price off the sharp side, then find where DraftKings, FanDuel, Caesars, ESPNBet, BetRivers, and Bovada are wrong — before they correct.
02
Most models anchor to season averages. We weight a player's last N games against this specific opponent at 40% of the projection. Series data tells you what the market misses every time.
03
30 sessions of live simulation identified comprehensive rules — from elimination game patterns to minimum buffer requirements. Each rule eliminates a specific category of false positive that EV alone cannot detect.
Coverage
We monitor 14 sportsbooks in real time — 6 sharp anchors for pricing, 8 recreational targets for value.
⚡ Sharp Anchors — Fair Probability
Under 2% hold. Used to calculate fair probability.
🎯 Recreational Targets — Find the Value
4–6% hold. We find where these books misprice vs sharp consensus.
PROP ALERT
Player: Paul George [F]
Stat: POINTS
Bet: OVER 15.5
Best Odds: +110 @ fanduel
Fair Prob: 51.9% [sharp(6books)] ⚡ SHARP
EV: +5.83%
Usage rate: 26.4% 🟡 High usage
──────────────────────────────────────
── This Series vs BOS (G5 — 4 prior games)
Games (PTS): G1:17 G2:19 G3:18 G4:16
Series avg: 17.5 vs line 15.5 ✅ ALL 4 CONFIRM OVER
──────────────────────────────────────
Confidence: 78/120 🟡 GOOD
Verdict: ✅ STRONG OVER
Verified results
Every pick logged before tip-off. Every result posted publicly. 30 consecutive sessions of documented performance.
| Session | Record | ROI | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 6 | 4W–0L | +80.4% | 🏆 PERFECT |
| May 5 | 4W–0L | +84.9% | 🏆 PERFECT |
| May 2 | 3W–1L | +43.8% | WIN |
| May 1 | 3W–1L | +45.6% | WIN |
| Apr 30 | 3W–0L | +102.1% | 🏆 PERFECT |
| Apr 24 | 4W–0L | +99.0% | 🏆 PERFECT |
Overall ROI
+20.7%
$14,400 staked
Win rate
61.1%
144 props graded
Avg session
64.6%
win rate per day
Perfect cards
4 × 100%
30 sessions
Pricing
Start free. Upgrade when you're ready to act on the full feed.
Free
$0
forever
Pro
$29
per month
Elite
$79
per month
Questions
Is this gambling advice?
No. EdgeLeverage identifies statistical edges in sports prop markets using publicly available data and pricing. It is an analytical tool, not financial or gambling advice. Never bet more than you can afford to lose.
How is the confidence score calculated?
Each prop is scored 0–120 across multiple signals: EV strength from sharp book pricing, series game log vs the line, projection gap, position defense matchup, floor/ceiling analysis, and comprehensive calibration rules refined across 30 sessions. A prop scoring 90+ has multiple signals all aligned.
What sports are covered?
Currently NBA. NFL, MLB, and WNBA are supported by the underlying scanner and will be rolled out to Pro and Elite subscribers as each season begins.
How often are picks updated?
The scanner runs fresh each game day. Picks are posted by 12pm ET. Lines move throughout the day — always verify the line before acting.
What books do you recommend?
We surface the best available line across DraftKings, FanDuel, Caesars, ESPNBet, BetRivers, Hard Rock Bet, Bet365, and Bovada. Sharp pricing anchors come from Pinnacle, ProphetExchange, BetOnline, BookmakerEU, LowVig, and Sporttrade. Always shop the line across all available books before placing — the biggest edge often comes from books that are slowest to adjust.
Roadmap
Dedicated scanners, calibration rules, and track records for every major sport. Early access subscribers get first pick when each pass launches.
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Early access
First 100 subscribers get Pro pricing locked for life at $19/mo — spots filling fast.